Just Had Only Gold + Arrows + Rancid Potion From Nightmare ...

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General Discussion Coyote796-2139 October 19, 2021, 11:37am 1 Now before everyone jumps on the band wagon of “It’s just RNG!!!” I know how RNG works, but I am still making this post to state I did just have this absolutely god awful “rng” happen.If someone else wants to do the maths on the % drop chance of only gold + 2 white consumables from NM Mephisto be my guest and post below, but a lot of people have complained about bad drop chance, so I am just sticking this up here.Side note - This was non-quest Mephisto NM. Dude-2194 October 19, 2021, 11:47am 2 Dont know the tc drop chances in nm, but in hell junk and gold are around 5%. If WE assume this might be 10% in nm the chance for such a drop would be around 1% or on average 1 from 100 runs. Coyote796-2139 October 19, 2021, 12:38pm 3 Unfortunately I do not know the calculation to work out % chance over a multiple chance outcome. For instance getting the gold/trash would be 1/10, but you would have to roll that 1/10 over a 5 item chance with all of them hitting 1/10. Dude-2194 October 19, 2021, 1:07pm 4 Oh maybe i did not made my post clear enough.The 1 out of 100 allready is the chance to only get 3 crap items if mephisto would always drop exact 3 items.Since mephisto also can drop more or less items the real chance will be a bit off, but i guess 3 items should be close to the average number of items dropped from him on nm.Edit:Stupid mistake on my side, chance to get only 3 crappy items with the before mentioned drop chances is 1 out of 1000 not 1 out of 100. Slice-1351 October 19, 2021, 1:13pm 5 Just like really good rng, you can have really bad rng. That said, I do feel like this shouldn’t happen. Imagine killing mephisto for the first time and getting that drop. Skældrig-2776 October 19, 2021, 1:14pm 6

I know how RNG works,

no you’re not

Sometimes you get S*** like this time, on another try u get 3 Uniques. Will you then open a forum post about how good rng works and you got 3 uniques? teshi-1468 October 19, 2021, 1:53pm 7 Some time ago I got some gold and a bunch of white items from Hell diablo, that made me laugh Coyote796-2139 October 19, 2021, 2:56pm 8 “Unfortunately I do not know the calculation to work out % chance over a multiple chance outcome. For instance getting the gold/trash would be 1/10, but you would have to roll that 1/10 over a 5 item chance with all of them hitting 1/10.”Here I linked my reply that shows I know how RNG works, but yes, assume away that I do not