Fed Rate Monitor Tool

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Fed Interest Rate Decision

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Fed Interest Rate Decision Mar 18, 2026 02:00PM ET

3 Weeks 5 Days 1 Hours 46 Minutes

Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.

Mar 18, 2026 Add to Calendar

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Meeting Time: Mar 18, 2026 02:00PM ET Future Price: 96.365 3.25 - 3.50 3.0% 3.50 - 3.75 97.0%

Target Rate	Current Probability%	Previous Day Probability%	Previous Week Probability%
3.25 - 3.50	3.0%	7.0%	7.4%
3.50 - 3.75	97.0%	93.0%	92.6%

Updated: Feb 20, 2026 10:55AM EST Apr 29, 2026 Add to Calendar

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Meeting Time: Apr 29, 2026 02:00PM ET Future Price: 96.370 3.00 - 3.25 0.5% 3.25 - 3.50 17.1% 3.50 - 3.75 82.5%

Target Rate	Current Probability%	Previous Day Probability%	Previous Week Probability%
3.00 - 3.25	0.5%	1.1%	1.8%
3.25 - 3.50	17.1%	19.9%	27.5%
3.50 - 3.75	82.5%	79.1%	70.8%

Updated: Feb 20, 2026 10:55AM EST Jun 17, 2026 Add to Calendar

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Meeting Time: Jun 17, 2026 02:00PM ET Future Price: 96.450 2.75 - 3.00 0.2% 3.00 - 3.25 7.5% 3.25 - 3.50 44.8% 3.50 - 3.75 47.5%

Target Rate	Current Probability%	Previous Day Probability%	Previous Week Probability%
2.75 - 3.00	0.2%	0.5%	0.9%
3.00 - 3.25	7.5%	9.7%	15.1%
3.25 - 3.50	44.8%	47.2%	49.9%
3.50 - 3.75	47.5%	42.6%	34.2%

Updated: Feb 20, 2026 10:55AM EST Jul 29, 2026 Add to Calendar

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Meeting Time: Jul 29, 2026 02:00PM ET Future Price: 96.520 2.75 - 3.00 2.9% 3.00 - 3.25 21.5% 3.25 - 3.50 45.8% 3.50 - 3.75 29.6%

Target Rate	Current Probability%	Previous Day Probability%	Previous Week Probability%
2.50 - 2.75	0.1%	0.2%	0.4%
2.75 - 3.00	2.9%	4.2%	7.2%
3.00 - 3.25	21.5%	24.7%	30.5%
3.25 - 3.50	45.8%	45.4%	42.9%
3.50 - 3.75	29.6%	25.6%	19.0%

Updated: Feb 20, 2026 10:55AM EST Sep 16, 2026 Add to Calendar

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Meeting Time: Sep 16, 2026 02:00PM ET Future Price: 96.670 2.50 - 2.75 1.6% 2.75 - 3.00 12.8% 3.00 - 3.25 34.5% 3.25 - 3.50 37.2% 3.50 - 3.75 13.9%

Target Rate	Current Probability%	Previous Day Probability%	Previous Week Probability%
2.25 - 2.50	0.0%	0.1%	0.2%
2.50 - 2.75	1.6%	2.3%	4.2%
2.75 - 3.00	12.8%	15.1%	20.1%
3.00 - 3.25	34.5%	35.7%	37.4%
3.25 - 3.50	37.2%	34.8%	29.6%
3.50 - 3.75	13.9%	12.0%	8.5%

Updated: Feb 20, 2026 10:55AM EST Oct 28, 2026 Add to Calendar

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Meeting Time: Oct 28, 2026 02:00PM ET Future Price: 96.750 2.25 - 2.50 0.6% 2.50 - 2.75 5.7% 2.75 - 3.00 20.8% 3.00 - 3.25 35.5% 3.25 - 3.50 28.6% 3.50 - 3.75 8.8%

Target Rate	Current Probability%	Previous Day Probability%	Previous Week Probability%
2.00 - 2.25	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
2.25 - 2.50	0.6%	0.9%	1.6%
2.50 - 2.75	5.7%	7.0%	9.7%
2.75 - 3.00	20.8%	22.7%	26.1%
3.00 - 3.25	35.5%	35.4%	34.7%
3.25 - 3.50	28.6%	26.4%	22.3%
3.50 - 3.75	8.8%	7.6%	5.5%

Updated: Feb 20, 2026 10:55AM EST Dec 09, 2026 Add to Calendar

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Meeting Time: Dec 09, 2026 02:00PM ET Future Price: 96.900 2.00 - 2.25 0.2% 2.25 - 2.50 2.6% 2.50 - 2.75 11.5% 2.75 - 3.00 26.4% 3.00 - 3.25 32.9% 3.25 - 3.50 21.1% 3.50 - 3.75 5.4%

Target Rate	Current Probability%	Previous Day Probability%	Previous Week Probability%
1.75 - 2.00	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2.00 - 2.25	0.2%	0.4%	0.6%
2.25 - 2.50	2.6%	3.1%	4.5%
2.50 - 2.75	11.5%	12.6%	15.6%
2.75 - 3.00	26.4%	27.2%	29.2%
3.00 - 3.25	32.9%	32.2%	30.3%
3.25 - 3.50	21.1%	19.6%	16.3%
3.50 - 3.75	5.4%	4.8%	3.5%

Updated: Feb 20, 2026 10:55AM EST

Fed Fund Rates

News

Dollar firms slightly after blowout jobs report, heads for weekly loss By Investing.com - Feb 12, 2026 1

Investing.com -- The U.S. dollar slipped slightly lower Thursday, remaining under pressure and on track for a weekly drop, even after a stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report. At 14:30 ET (19:30...

European stocks mostly lower as earnings season continues; Mercedes disappoints By Investing.com - Feb 12, 2026

Investing.com - European stocks closed mostly lower Thursday, as investors focused on a large batch of earnings reports as well as U.K. growth data.  The DAX index in Germany fell 0.1%, the CAC 40 in...

Dollar falls ahead of data deluge; yen firms after Takaichi’s election victory By Investing.com - Feb 09, 2026

Investing.com - The U.S. dollar fell on Monday after a solid week of gains, with investors looking ahead to a busy week for important economic data. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen strengthened on more...

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Analysis

S&P 500 Earnings Rise 12.1% as Operating Margins Expand By Louis Navellier - Feb 19, 2026 3

Crude oil prices are rising on the anticipation of possible military action in Iran. Iran conducted some military operations that briefly shut down part of the Strait of Hormuz, which was apparently a...

Gold Under Pressure From Fed Rift, US-Iran Tensions Near a Point of No Return By Nick Cawley - Feb 19, 2026 1

The Federal Reserve’s January 27-28 meeting minutes reveal a central bank divided on its next move. While members vote near-unanimously to hold the interest rate target range at 3.50%-3.75%, the...

US Dollar Firms as FOMC Minutes Revive Rate Hike Talk By Alexander Kuptsikevich - Feb 19, 2026

• The Fed does not rule out a rate hike. • The pound continued to fall amid slowing inflation. The ‘hawkish’ surprise in the latest...

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• Indices
• Commodities
• Bonds
• Stocks

More Categories Tabs SelectionIndicesCommoditiesBondsStocksCryptoForexETFs%COUNT%/4 selected Apply1D1W1M6M1Y5YMax

US 30	49,510.9	+115.7	+0.23%
US 500	6,900.5	+38.6	+0.56%
Dow Jones	49,523.19	+128.03	+0.26%
S&P 500	6,899.51	+37.61	+0.55%
Nasdaq	22,907.03	+224.30	+0.99%
S&P 500 VIX	18.96	-1.27	-6.28%
Dollar Index	97.570	-0.285	-0.29%

Crude Oil WTI	66.10	-0.30	-0.45%
Brent Oil	71.31	-0.35	-0.49%
Natural Gas	3.017	+0.021	+0.70%
Gold	5,074.69	+77.29	+1.55%
Silver	82.103	+4.469	+5.76%
Copper	5.8178	+0.0793	+1.38%
US Soybeans	1,133.63	-6.37	-0.56%

U.S. 10Y	4.091	+0.014	+0.34%
U.S. 30Y	4.735	+0.031	+0.66%
U.S. 5Y	3.652	+0.005	+0.14%
U.S. 3M	3.687	+0.001	+0.03%
US 10Y T-Note	112.86	-0.11	-0.10%
Euro Bund	129.32	+0.02	+0.02%
10-2 Yield Spread	31.32	+4.15	+15.27%

Apple	262.33	+1.75	+0.67%
NVIDIA	189.72	+1.82	+0.97%
Alphabet A	314.37	+11.52	+3.80%
Tesla	412.77	+1.06	+0.26%
Amazon.com	209.50	+4.64	+2.27%
Netflix	78.06	+1.06	+1.37%
Meta Platforms	659.73	+14.95	+2.32%

Fed Rate Monitor Tool Meeting Time: Mar 18, 2026 02:00PM ET Future Price: 96.365 3.25 - 3.50 3.0% 3.50 - 3.75 97.0% Central Banks Rates

	Central Banks		Interest Rates	Next Meeting
FED	3.75%	Mar 18, 2026
ECB	2.15%	Mar 19, 2026
BOE	3.75%	Mar 19, 2026
SNB	0.00%	Mar 19, 2026
RBA	3.85%	Mar 17, 2026
BOC	2.25%	Mar 18, 2026
RBNZ	2.25%	Feb 18, 2026
BOJ	0.75%	Mar 19, 2026
CBR	15.50%	Feb 13, 2026
RBI	5.25%	Apr 09, 2026
PBOC	3.00%
BCB	15.00%	Mar 18, 2026

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