Fed Rate Monitor Tool
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Fed Interest Rate Decision
Frequency
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Status
Create Manage my alerts BackFed Interest Rate Decision Mar 18, 2026 02:00PM ET
6 Weeks 4 Days 23 Hours 48 MinutesOur Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.
Mar 18, 2026 Add to Calendar- iCalendar
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| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.00 - 3.25 | — | — | 0.5% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 14.7% | 14.9% | 14.5% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 85.3% | 85.1% | 85.0% |
- iCalendar
- Google Calendar
- Outlook
- Outlook Online
- Yahoo Calendar
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.75 - 3.00 | — | — | 0.1% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 28.3% | 26.9% | 26.6% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 68.8% | 70.5% | 70.5% |
- iCalendar
- Google Calendar
- Outlook
- Outlook Online
- Yahoo Calendar
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.50 - 2.75 | — | — | 0.0% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 15.2% | 13.5% | 13.2% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 48.0% | 46.5% | 45.6% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 35.4% | 38.8% | 39.9% |
- iCalendar
- Google Calendar
- Outlook
- Outlook Online
- Yahoo Calendar
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.25 - 2.50 | — | — | 0.0% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 26.8% | 23.7% | 21.8% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 43.5% | 44.1% | 44.1% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 22.9% | 26.8% | 29.3% |
- iCalendar
- Google Calendar
- Outlook
- Outlook Online
- Yahoo Calendar
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.00 - 2.25 | — | — | 0.0% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 14.7% | 12.4% | 11.0% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 33.6% | 31.8% | 30.2% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 35.1% | 37.3% | 38.5% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 13.5% | 16.2% | 18.3% |
- iCalendar
- Google Calendar
- Outlook
- Outlook Online
- Yahoo Calendar
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.75 - 2.00 | — | — | 0.0% |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 19.4% | 16.4% | 14.5% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 34.0% | 32.9% | 31.7% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 29.7% | 33.0% | 34.8% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 10.1% | 12.9% | 14.9% |
- iCalendar
- Google Calendar
- Outlook
- Outlook Online
- Yahoo Calendar
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.50 - 1.75 | — | — | 0.0% |
| 1.75 - 2.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 22.7% | 20.0% | 17.6% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 33.1% | 32.9% | 32.3% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 25.4% | 28.5% | 31.2% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 7.9% | 10.1% | 12.2% |
Fed Fund Rates
News
Trump preparing to nominate Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair- reports By Investing.com - Jan 30, 2026 28 Investing.com-- U.S. President Donald Trump is preparing to nominate former Federal Reserve governor Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell at the head of the central bank, several reports showed on...
Dollar languishes near four-year lows after Fed stands pat; euro back below $1.20 By Investing.com - Jan 29, 2026 2 Investing.com - The U.S. dollar slipped slightly on Thursday and traded near a four-year low, unable to build on the previous session’s gains after the Federal Reserve left interest rates...
European stocks mixed after Fed decision; earnings in spotlight By Investing.com - Jan 29, 2026 Investing.com - European stocks traded in a mixed fashion Thursday, as investors digested a plethora of quarterly earnings from some of Europe’s biggest companies in the wake of the U.S. Federal...
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Analysis
The Energy Report: A Chilly Ceasefire By Phil Flynn - Jan 30, 2026 Oil prices for Brent crude were on track for their biggest monthly increase since January 2022, while West Texas Intermediate was set for its largest monthly gain since July 2023. These gains have...
US Dollar Index Back to 2008 Lows: Is This a Breakdown or a Crowded Trap? By Lee Yang - Jan 29, 2026 Markets digested last night’s FOMC with little drama on the surface, but the message was clear enough: the Fed remains comfortable letting financial conditions stay loose (dovish).This is...
Gold Rush as Deflation Fears and Central Bank Credibility Erode By Louis Navellier - Jan 29, 2026 1 We now recommend 19 gold stocks, which I talked about in my Navellier Market Buzz podcast. The gold stocks I recommend are Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM), Alamos Gold (AGI), Barrick...
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- Indices
- Commodities
- Bonds
- Stocks
| US 30 | 48,589.4 | -482.2 | -0.98% |
| US 500 | 6,914.4 | -54.5 | -0.78% |
| Dow Jones | 48,610.31 | -461.25 | -0.94% |
| S&P 500 | 6,916.75 | -52.26 | -0.75% |
| Nasdaq | 23,444.84 | -240.28 | -1.01% |
| S&P 500 VIX | 17.82 | +0.94 | +5.57% |
| Dollar Index | 96.875 | +0.738 | +0.77% |
| Crude Oil WTI | 64.58 | -0.84 | -1.28% |
| Brent Oil | 68.74 | -0.85 | -1.22% |
| Natural Gas | 4.281 | +0.363 | +9.26% |
| Gold | 4,843.80 | -511.00 | -9.54% |
| Silver | 83.230 | -31.199 | -27.26% |
| Copper | 5.8745 | -0.3290 | -5.30% |
| US Soybeans | 1,061.75 | -9.25 | -0.86% |
| U.S. 10Y | 4.240 | +0.012 | +0.28% |
| U.S. 30Y | 4.873 | +0.018 | +0.37% |
| U.S. 5Y | 3.800 | -0.005 | -0.13% |
| U.S. 3M | 3.664 | -0.006 | -0.16% |
| US 10Y T-Note | 111.83 | -0.03 | -0.03% |
| Euro Bund | 128.19 | -0.03 | -0.03% |
| 10-2 Yield Spread | 31.32 | +4.15 | +15.27% |
| Apple | 255.23 | -3.05 | -1.18% |
| NVIDIA | 191.39 | -1.12 | -0.58% |
| Alphabet A | 337.79 | -0.46 | -0.14% |
| Tesla | 434.77 | +18.21 | +4.37% |
| Amazon.com | 238.96 | -2.78 | -1.15% |
| Netflix | 83.29 | +0.13 | +0.15% |
| Meta Platforms | 717.13 | -21.18 | -2.87% |
| Central Banks | Interest Rates | Next Meeting | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FED | 3.75% | Mar 18, 2026 | |||
| ECB | 2.15% | Feb 05, 2026 | |||
| BOE | 3.75% | Feb 05, 2026 | |||
| SNB | 0.00% | Mar 19, 2026 | |||
| RBA | 3.60% | Feb 03, 2026 | |||
| BOC | 2.25% | Mar 18, 2026 | |||
| RBNZ | 2.25% | Feb 18, 2026 | |||
| BOJ | 0.75% | Mar 19, 2026 | |||
| CBR | 16.00% | Feb 13, 2026 | |||
| RBI | 5.25% | Feb 06, 2026 | |||
| PBOC | 3.00% | ||||
| BCB | 15.00% | Jan 29, 2026 | |||
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