Fed Rate Monitor Tool
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Fed Interest Rate Decision
Frequency
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Status
Create Manage my alerts BackFed Interest Rate Decision Jan 28, 2026 02:00PM ET
3 Weeks 0 Days 8 Hours 38 MinutesOur Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.
Jan 28, 2026 Add to Calendar- iCalendar
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| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 18.4% | 19.5% | 18.6% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 81.6% | 80.5% | 81.4% |
- iCalendar
- Google Calendar
- Outlook
- Outlook Online
- Yahoo Calendar
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 40.2% | 39.5% | 45.2% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 53.4% | 54.2% | 47.0% |
- iCalendar
- Google Calendar
- Outlook
- Outlook Online
- Yahoo Calendar
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 13.6% | 12.8% | 17.5% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 43.1% | 42.3% | 45.6% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 42.0% | 43.7% | 34.9% |
- iCalendar
- Google Calendar
- Outlook
- Outlook Online
- Yahoo Calendar
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.5% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 30.3% | 29.5% | 32.9% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 42.4% | 43.1% | 39.7% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 18.1% | 18.9% | 15.8% |
- iCalendar
- Google Calendar
- Outlook
- Outlook Online
- Yahoo Calendar
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 15.6% | 15.0% | 17.9% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 34.4% | 34.0% | 35.2% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 34.4% | 35.1% | 31.8% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 12.1% | 12.6% | 10.5% |
- iCalendar
- Google Calendar
- Outlook
- Outlook Online
- Yahoo Calendar
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 22.6% | 21.7% | 23.7% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 34.4% | 34.4% | 34.0% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 26.1% | 27.1% | 24.6% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% |
- iCalendar
- Google Calendar
- Outlook
- Outlook Online
- Yahoo Calendar
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.75 - 2.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.6% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 25.0% | 24.3% | 25.6% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 32.6% | 32.9% | 32.3% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 22.2% | 23.2% | 21.4% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% |
- iCalendar
- Google Calendar
- Outlook
- Outlook Online
- Yahoo Calendar
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.50 - 1.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1.75 - 2.00 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 13.5% | 12.8% | 13.8% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 26.4% | 25.9% | 26.7% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 30.8% | 31.2% | 30.6% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 19.3% | 20.2% | 18.9% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% |
Fed Fund Rates
News
Dollar edges higher; set for weekly loss after soft inflation data By Investing.com - Dec 19, 2025 Investing.com - The U.S. dollar rose Friday, bouncing after the immediate selloff that following the previous session’s relatively subdued inflation data on the back of uncertainty surrounding the...
Nike earnings, BOJ rate hike, EU loan to Ukraine - what’s moving markets By Investing.com - Dec 19, 2025 17 Investing.com - U.S. stock futures edged marginally higher Friday after soft inflation data raised hopes for easier monetary policy from the Federal Reserve in the new year, even as Nike suffered...
Japan CPI inflation remains sticky in November as BOJ rate hike looms By Investing.com - Dec 18, 2025 5 Updates with analyst comments Investing.com-- Japanese consumer price index inflation remained steady as expected in November, with underlying inflation cooling slightly but remaining well above the...
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Analysis
Nvidia’s Exponential Growth Meets a New Fed Ready to Cut Rates By Louis Navellier - Jan 06, 2026 5 Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang’s presentation at CES was very reassuring to the company’s investors. Huang said, “Demand for Nvidia GPUs is skyrocketing,” and added, “It’s...
5% GDP in Sight as AI, Robotics, and Data Centers Offset Global Risks By Louis Navellier - Jan 05, 2026 5 Decisive action by the U.S. is expected to result in low crude oil prices as major U.S. energy companies join Chevron and help significantly boost Venezuelan crude oil production.There are...
Week Ahead: US Payrolls, ISM Surveys, EZ Inflation, Fed Leadership in Focus By Ryan Anderson - Jan 02, 2026 SUN: OPEC+ MON: European Epiphany holiday (No After-Hours Trading in Italy); UK Mortgage Approvals/Lending (Nov), US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec), Final PMIs (Dec) TUE: European Epiphany holiday (No...
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- Indices
- Commodities
- Bonds
- Stocks
| US 30 | 49,473.1 | +11.0 | +0.02% |
| US 500 | 6,935.3 | -9.5 | -0.14% |
| Dow Jones | 49,462.08 | +484.90 | +0.99% |
| S&P 500 | 6,944.82 | +42.77 | +0.62% |
| Nasdaq | 23,547.17 | +151.35 | +0.65% |
| S&P 500 VIX | 15.13 | +0.38 | +2.58% |
| Dollar Index | 98.295 | -0.022 | -0.02% |
| Crude Oil WTI | 56.58 | -0.55 | -0.96% |
| Brent Oil | 60.31 | -0.39 | -0.64% |
| Natural Gas | 3.500 | +0.150 | +4.48% |
| Gold | 4,474.15 | -21.95 | -0.49% |
| Silver | 79.400 | -1.639 | -2.02% |
| Copper | 6.0095 | -0.0530 | -0.87% |
| US Soybeans | 1,064.75 | +7.75 | +0.73% |
| U.S. 10Y | 4.145 | -0.035 | -0.84% |
| U.S. 30Y | 4.826 | -0.040 | -0.82% |
| U.S. 5Y | 3.694 | -0.026 | -0.70% |
| U.S. 3M | 3.622 | +0.016 | +0.44% |
| US 10Y T-Note | 112.53 | +0.20 | +0.18% |
| Euro Bund | 128.22 | +0.48 | +0.38% |
| 10-2 Yield Spread | 31.32 | +4.15 | +15.27% |
| Apple | 262.36 | -4.90 | -1.83% |
| NVIDIA | 187.24 | -0.88 | -0.47% |
| Alphabet A | 314.34 | -2.20 | -0.70% |
| Tesla | 432.96 | -18.71 | -4.14% |
| Amazon.com | 240.93 | +7.87 | +3.38% |
| Netflix | 90.65 | -0.81 | -0.89% |
| Meta Platforms | 660.62 | +1.83 | +0.28% |
| Central Banks | Interest Rates | Next Meeting | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FED | 3.75% | Jan 26, 2026 | |||
| ECB | 2.15% | Feb 05, 2026 | |||
| BOE | 3.75% | Feb 05, 2026 | |||
| SNB | 0.00% | Mar 19, 2026 | |||
| RBA | 3.60% | Feb 03, 2026 | |||
| BOC | 2.25% | Jan 28, 2026 | |||
| RBNZ | 2.25% | Feb 18, 2026 | |||
| BOJ | 0.75% | Jan 23, 2026 | |||
| CBR | 16.00% | Feb 13, 2026 | |||
| RBI | 5.25% | Feb 06, 2026 | |||
| PBOC | 3.00% | ||||
| BCB | 15.00% | Jan 29, 2026 | |||
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