Fed Rate Monitor Tool
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Fed Interest Rate Decision
Frequency
Once Recurring Send me a reminder 15 minutes before30 minutes before60 minutes beforeDelivery Method
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Status
Create Manage my alerts BackFed Interest Rate Decision Mar 18, 2026 02:00PM ET
3 Weeks 4 Days 9 Hours 44 MinutesOur Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.
Mar 18, 2026 Add to Calendar- iCalendar
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| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 3.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 97.0% | 93.0% | 91.6% |
- iCalendar
- Google Calendar
- Outlook
- Outlook Online
- Yahoo Calendar
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 17.1% | 19.9% | 28.0% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 82.5% | 79.1% | 70.0% |
- iCalendar
- Google Calendar
- Outlook
- Outlook Online
- Yahoo Calendar
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 7.5% | 9.7% | 16.0% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 44.8% | 47.2% | 50.6% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 47.5% | 42.6% | 32.4% |
- iCalendar
- Google Calendar
- Outlook
- Outlook Online
- Yahoo Calendar
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 2.9% | 4.2% | 7.7% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 21.5% | 24.7% | 31.3% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 45.8% | 45.4% | 42.5% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 29.6% | 25.6% | 18.0% |
- iCalendar
- Google Calendar
- Outlook
- Outlook Online
- Yahoo Calendar
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.4% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 12.9% | 15.1% | 20.7% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 34.5% | 35.7% | 37.5% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 37.1% | 34.8% | 29.0% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 13.8% | 12.0% | 8.1% |
- iCalendar
- Google Calendar
- Outlook
- Outlook Online
- Yahoo Calendar
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.4% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 20.4% | 22.7% | 26.9% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 35.4% | 35.4% | 34.4% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 29.1% | 26.4% | 21.3% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% |
- iCalendar
- Google Calendar
- Outlook
- Outlook Online
- Yahoo Calendar
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.75 - 2.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 11.1% | 12.6% | 16.0% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 26.1% | 27.2% | 29.4% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 33.0% | 32.2% | 29.9% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 21.5% | 19.6% | 15.8% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
Fed Fund Rates
News
Dollar firms slightly after blowout jobs report, heads for weekly loss By Investing.com - Feb 12, 2026 1 Investing.com -- The U.S. dollar slipped slightly lower Thursday, remaining under pressure and on track for a weekly drop, even after a stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report. At 14:30 ET (19:30...
European stocks mostly lower as earnings season continues; Mercedes disappoints By Investing.com - Feb 12, 2026 Investing.com - European stocks closed mostly lower Thursday, as investors focused on a large batch of earnings reports as well as U.K. growth data. The DAX index in Germany fell 0.1%, the CAC 40 in...
Dollar falls ahead of data deluge; yen firms after Takaichi’s election victory By Investing.com - Feb 09, 2026 Investing.com - The U.S. dollar fell on Monday after a solid week of gains, with investors looking ahead to a busy week for important economic data. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen strengthened on more...
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Analysis
No Exit, Big Surprise, More Cuts as Trade Deficit Hits $901.5 Billion By Louis Navellier - Feb 20, 2026 2 The big news on Thursday from the Commerce Department was that the U.S. trade deficit rose to $70.3 billion in December and $901.5 billion in 2025. In December, imports surged 3.6% to $357.6 billion,...
US Dollar Rally Looks Fragile Despite Hawkish FOMC Minutes By Zorrays Junaid - Feb 20, 2026 The U.S. dollar is attempting to extend gains this morning after receiving a modest boost from the latest Federal Reserve minutes. However, beneath the surface, the broader tone suggests the rally may...
Why Fed Money Printing and Interest Rate Repression Threaten the Middle Class By Michael Pento - Feb 20, 2026 The Federal Reserve is a most abhorrent institution. Its habitual money printing and interest rate repression serves to enrich banks just as it bankrupts the middle class.Want proof? Underneath the...
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- Indices
- Commodities
- Bonds
- Stocks
| US 30 | 49,627.5 | +232.3 | +0.47% |
| US 500 | 6,910.5 | +48.6 | +0.71% |
| Dow Jones | 49,625.97 | +230.81 | +0.47% |
| S&P 500 | 6,909.51 | +47.62 | +0.69% |
| Nasdaq | 22,886.07 | +203.34 | +0.90% |
| S&P 500 VIX | 19.09 | -1.14 | -5.64% |
| Dollar Index | 97.73 | -0.13 | -0.13% |
| Crude Oil WTI | 66.24 | -0.16 | -0.24% |
| Brent Oil | 71.76 | +0.10 | +0.14% |
| Natural Gas | 3.047 | +0.051 | +1.70% |
| Gold | 5,080.90 | +83.50 | +1.67% |
| Silver | 82.343 | +4.709 | +6.07% |
| Copper | 5.8390 | +0.1005 | +1.75% |
| US Soybeans | 1,137.50 | -2.50 | -0.22% |
| U.S. 10Y | 4.085 | +0.010 | +0.25% |
| U.S. 30Y | 4.725 | +0.021 | +0.45% |
| U.S. 5Y | 3.648 | +0.001 | +0.03% |
| U.S. 3M | 3.687 | +0.001 | +0.03% |
| US 10Y T-Note | 112.94 | -0.03 | -0.03% |
| Euro Bund | 129.34 | +0.09 | +0.07% |
| 10-2 Yield Spread | 31.32 | +4.15 | +15.27% |
| Apple | 264.58 | +4.00 | +1.54% |
| NVIDIA | 189.82 | +1.92 | +1.02% |
| Alphabet A | 314.98 | +12.13 | +4.01% |
| Tesla | 411.82 | +0.11 | +0.03% |
| Amazon.com | 210.11 | +5.25 | +2.56% |
| Netflix | 78.67 | +1.67 | +2.17% |
| Meta Platforms | 655.66 | +10.88 | +1.69% |
| Central Banks | Interest Rates | Next Meeting | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FED | 3.75% | Mar 18, 2026 | |||
| ECB | 2.15% | Mar 19, 2026 | |||
| BOE | 3.75% | Mar 19, 2026 | |||
| SNB | 0.00% | Mar 19, 2026 | |||
| RBA | 3.85% | Mar 17, 2026 | |||
| BOC | 2.25% | Mar 18, 2026 | |||
| RBNZ | 2.25% | Feb 18, 2026 | |||
| BOJ | 0.75% | Mar 19, 2026 | |||
| CBR | 15.50% | Feb 13, 2026 | |||
| RBI | 5.25% | Apr 09, 2026 | |||
| PBOC | 3.00% | ||||
| BCB | 15.00% | Mar 18, 2026 | |||
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