US Dollar Index Forecast, News And Analysis - FXStreet

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US Dollar Index holds steady near 98.00 amid rate cut expectations and Fed Chair uncertainty

The US Dollar Index, an index of the value of the US Dollar measured against a basket of six world currencies, trades on a flat note near 98.00 during the early European trading hours on Monday. Financial markets are expected to trade on thin volumes as traders prepare for the New Year holiday. The US Pending Home Sales report for November is due later on Monday.

Latest US Dollar Index News

1. FX Today: Fed Minutes in focus as USD stabilizes, Gold slips

   By Agustin Wazne | 19:00 GMT

2. USD/CHF Price Forecast: Regains ground below 0.7900

   By Sagar Dua | 11:56 GMT

3. Pound Sterling trades calm at the start of thin volume year-end week

   By Sagar Dua | 11:20 GMT

DXY Technical Overview

Fundamental Overview

Latest US Dollar Index Analysis

Latest US Dollar Index Analysis

Editors' picks

AUD/USD struggles to reconquer the 0.6700 mark

The AUD/USD pair trades just below 0.6700 in the Asian session on Tuesday, trying to regain some ground after falling at the beginning of the week. The US Dollar benefited from a dismal mood, with a sell-off in tech shares leading an otherwise slow session.

USD/JPY stalls as Yentervention risk weighs

USD/JPY reversed course to open the final week of the trading year, falling back to the 156.00 region and paring off last week’s late burst of bullish momentum. General volatility is expected to widen during the last trading week of 2025, and follow into early 2026 as holiday-thinned market volumes wreak havoc on general market trends.

Gold holds above $4,300 after setting yet another record high

Spot Gold traded as high as $4,550 a troy ounce on Monday, fueled by persistent US Dollar weakness and a dismal mood. The XAU/USD pair was hit sharply by profit-taking during US trading hours and retreated towards $4,300, where buyers reappeared.

Ethereum: BitMine continues accumulation, begins staking ETH holdings

Ethereum treasury firm BitMine Immersion continued its ETH buying spree despite the seasonal holiday market slowdown. The company acquired 44,463 ETH last week, pushing its total holdings to 4.11 million ETH or 3.41% of Ethereum's circulating supply, according to a statement on Monday. That figure is over 50% lower than the amount it purchased the previous week.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures

Fed News & Analysis

FED News

1. EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1750 as traders await FOMC Minutes

   By Lallalit Srijandorn | 17 minutes ago

2. USD/JPY stalls as Yentervention risk weighs

   By Joshua Gibson | 21:18 GMT

3. Dow Jones Industrial Average stalls as AI stocks weigh, eyes on Fed Minutes

   By Joshua Gibson | 20:07 GMT

FED ANALYSIS

1. It’s another short week for just about everybody

   By Barbara Rockefeller 13:51 GMT

2. Gold pulls back as markets react to Fed outlook and global risks

   By Muhammad Umair, PhD 07:27 GMT

3. What are the highest-potential positions for the year ahead? [Video]

   By Dale J Pinkert Dec 28, 23:55 GMT

More about FED!

US DOLLAR INDEX

The US Dollar Index (DXY, USDX) measures the value of the United States Dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies. It is a weighted geometric mean of the dollar’s value relative to the following select currencies: Euro (57.6% weight), Japanese Yen (13.6%), British Pound (11.9%), Canadian Dollar (9.1%), Swedish Krona (4.2%) and Swiss Franc (3.6%). The index started in 1973, following the dissolution of the Bretton Woods system, with a base value of 100.00. Values are relative to this base – for instance, a current reading of 99.800 would indicate that the dollar has depreciated by 0.2% since the start of the index.

While the Dollar Index is a geometrically weighted index rather than trade-weighted, it is concentrated in European currencies and excludes two of the US’ top trading partners, Mexico and China. As a result, it is primarily used as a speculative tool rather than by corporates or asset managers like mutual funds, insurance companies or endowments. Additionally, the geometric mean methodology artificially undervalues the USD over time.

US Dollar Index on Wikipedia

INFLUENTIAL ORGANIZATIONS AND ECONOMIC DATA FOR THE US DOLLAR INDEX

The Federal Reserve (Fed)

The Federal Reserve (Fed) is the central bank of the United States (US) and it has two main targets: to maintain the unemployment rate at its lowest possible levels and to keep inflation around 2%. The Federal Reserve System's structure is composed of the presidentially appointed Board of Governors and the partially appointed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The FOMC organizes eight scheduled meetings in a year to review economic and financial conditions. It also determines the appropriate stance of monetary policy and assesses the risks to its long-run goals of price stability and sustainable economic growth. The FOMC Minutes, which are released by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve weeks after the latest meeting, are a guide to the future US interest-rate policy.

Fed official website, on X and Facebook

The US Government

The US Government and its Treasury Department impact the US Dollar Index. Events such as administration statements, budgets, new laws and regulations or fiscal policy can increase or decrease the value of the DXY.

US Gross Domestic Product

US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) refers to the total market value of all final goods and services produced in the United States. It serves as a gross measure of market activity, indicating the pace at which the nation's economy is growing or contracting. Generally, a high reading or better-than-expected number is considered positive for the Dollar Index, while a low reading is seen as negative.