Pivot Counties By State - Ballotpedia

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206 Pivot Counties Logo.png2016 Pivot Counties
AnalysisPivot counties overviewList of countiesHistorical voting patternsHistorical voting analysis, 1992-2004DemographicsReverse-Pivot CountiesVoter turnoutPivot Counties by statePivot Counties in congressional districtsPivot Counties in state legislative districtsPivot Counties and ballot measures
2018 elections analysisPivot counties in U.S. House electionsPivot counties in state legislative electionsReverse pivot counties in U.S. House elections
Pivot Counties in the2020 presidential election
Pivot Counties in the2022 midterm elections
To read about Pivot Counties in the 2024 presidential election, click here

Ballotpedia identified 206 counties that voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012.[1] Collectively, Trump won these Pivot Counties by more than 580,000 votes, and had an average margin of victory of 11.45 percent. The 206 counties are located in 34 states. These counties are sometimes referred to as swing counties by media and political observers.

HIGHLIGHTS
  • Iowa had the most Pivot Counties of any state, with 31.
  • The state with the highest percentage of Pivot Counties was Maine, where Pivot Counties made up 50 percent of the state's total counties. Maine also had the highest percentage of state population living in Pivot Counties, with 47.08 percent.
  • Since 1960, Pivot Counties have matched the national election result in 73.07 percent of presidential elections.

    • The following map displays the Pivot Counties that voted for Obama, Obama, and Trump:

    The table below details the number of Pivot Counties in each state. To see a full list of Pivot Counties, click here. For more complete information on a state, click the state name.

    Pivot Counties By State
    State Pivot Counties Total Counties Percentage of Pivot Counties Percentage of Population in Pivot Counties
    Arkansas 1 75 1.33% 0.24%
    Colorado 4 64 6.25% 0.57%
    Connecticut 1 8 12.50% 3.28%
    Delaware 1 3 33.33% 18.26%
    Florida 4 67 5.97% 6.71%
    Georgia 5 159 3.14% 0.57%
    Illinois 11 102 10.78% 4.52%
    Indiana 5 92 5.43% 7.98%
    Iowa 31 99 31.31% 26.11%
    Kentucky 1 120 0.83% 0.18%
    Maine 8 16 50.00% 47.08%
    Michigan 12 83 14.46% 18.36%
    Minnesota 19 87 21.84% 9.97%
    Mississippi 2 82 2.44% 3.09%
    Montana 3 56 5.36% 3.37%
    Nebraska 1 93 1.08% 0.37%
    New Hampshire 3 10 30.00% 36.20%
    New Jersey 2 21 9.52% 4.00%
    New Mexico 3 33 9.09% 4.54%
    New York 18 62 29.03% 19.37%
    North Carolina 6 100 6.00% 3.18%
    North Dakota 4 53 7.55% 2.56%
    Ohio 9 88 10.23% 13.95%
    Oregon 2 36 5.56% 1.91%
    Pennsylvania 3 67 4.48% 7.05%
    Rhode Island 1 5 20.00% 15.69%
    South Carolina 5 46 10.87% 2.50%
    South Dakota 5 66 7.58% 3.31%
    Tennessee 1 95 1.05% 0.41%
    Texas 1 254 0.39% 0.97%
    Vermont 1 14 7.14% 0.99%
    Virginia 5 133 3.76% 3.95%
    Washington 5 39 12.82% 4.74%
    Wisconsin 23 72 31.94% 17.35%

    See also

    • Pivot Counties: The counties that voted Obama-Obama-Trump from 2008-2016
    • List of Pivot Counties - the 206 counties that voted Obama-Obama-Trump
    • Voter turnout in the 206 Pivot Counties that voted Obama-Obama-Trump
    • Presidential election, 2016
    • Election results, 2020: Pivot Counties in the 2020 presidential election

    Footnotes

    1. ↑ The raw data for this study was provided by Dave Leip of Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
    v • e2016 Pivot Counties
    AnalysisPivot counties overview • List of pivot counties • Voter turnout • Pivot Counties by state • Pivot Counties by congressional district • Pivot Counties by state legislative district • Demographics of Pivot Counties • Journalism and analysis about voters in the Obama-Obama-Trump Pivot Counties • Reverse-Pivot Counties206 Pivot Counties Logo.png
    By stateArkansas • Colorado • Connecticut • Delaware • Florida • Georgia • Illinois • Indiana • Iowa • Kentucky • Maine • Michigan • Minnesota • Mississippi • Montana • Nebraska • New Hampshire • New Jersey • New Mexico • New York • North Carolina • North Dakota • Ohio • Oregon • Pennsylvania • Rhode Island • South Carolina • South Dakota • Tennessee • Texas • Vermont • Virginia • Washington • Wisconsin
    2016 electionsPresidential • U.S. Senate • U.S. House • State legislatures
    2018 elections analysisPivot counties: U.S. House • Pivot counties: State legislatures • Reverse pivot counties: U.S. House
    2020 electionsPivot Counties in the 2020 presidential election • Presidential • U.S. Senate • U.S. House • State legislatures

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