Opinion Polling For The 2022 Philippine Presidential Election

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  • 1 Calendar
  • 2 Polling for president Toggle Polling for president subsection
    • 2.1 Graphical summary
    • 2.2 From the start of the campaign period to Election Day
    • 2.3 From the end of candidacy filing to the start of the campaign period
    • 2.4 Until candidacy filing ended in October 2021
  • 3 Polling for vice president Toggle Polling for vice president subsection
    • 3.1 Graphical summary
    • 3.2 From the start of the campaign period to Election Day
    • 3.3 From the end of candidacy filing to the start of the campaign period
    • 3.4 Until candidacy filing ended in October 2021
  • 4 Footnotes
  • 5 References
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Appearance move to sidebar hide From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia Surveys held prior to the 2022 Philippine presidential elections

This article covers opinion polling for the 2022 Philippine presidential and vice presidential elections. Opinion polling in Philippines is conducted by Social Weather Stations (SWS), Pulse Asia, RP- Mission and Development Foundation Inc. (RPMD), OCTA Research, and other pollsters. Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The front-runner is in bold. Those that are within the margin of error are in italics.

Calendar

[edit] Further information: 2022 Philippine general election § Calendar
  • Filing of candidacies: October 1 to 8, 2021
  • Deadline in substituting a candidate for it to appear on the ballot: November 15, 2021
  • Campaign period for nationally elected positions: February 8 to May 7, 2022
  • Campaign period for locally elected positions: March 25 to May 7, 2022
  • Election day: May 9, 2022

Polling for president

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]

From the start of the campaign period to Election Day

[edit]
Fieldworkdate(s) Pollster Samplesize MoE AbellaInd. De GuzmanPLM GonzalesPDSP LacsonInd.[a] MangondatoKatipunan MarcosPFP MontemayorDPP MorenoAksyon PacquiaoPROMDI RobredoInd. Others Und./None Ref.
May 9 Election results 56,097,722 N/A 0.21 0.17 0.17 1.66 0.56 58.77 0.11 3.59 6.81 27.94 N/A
Exit poll Publicus Asia[1] 29,024 3 58 6 7 25 1
May 2–5 Publicus Asia[2] 1,500 ±3.0% 1 2 1 4 54 8 2 22 0 6 / 0
Apr 22–30 Mobilis–TruthWatch[3][4] 2,400 ±2% 2 55 3 5 32 1
Apr 22–25 OCTA[5][6] 2,400 ±2% 0.2 0.2 2 1 58 8 5 25 0.1 / 0.04 0.3
Apr 19–21 Publicus Asia[7] 1,500 ±3.0% 1 2 0 4 57 6 2 21 0 6 / 0
Apr 16–21 Pulse Asia[8] 2,400 ±2.0% 1 0.3 0.1 2 1 56 0.1 4 7 23 — / 1 5
Apr 14–20 Laylo[9][10] 3,000 ±2.0% 2 64 5 5 21 0.4 3 / —
Apr 18–19 MBC–DZRH[11] 7,560 ±1.13% 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.6 0.6 52.9 0.3 8.2 5.8 24.3 3.9 / —
Apr 4–15 I&AC[12] 2,440 ±3.0% 0.375 1 0.125 5 0.375 55 0.125 11.75 6.5 18.5 1.25 / —
Apr 2–6 OCTA[13] 1,200 ±3% 1 0.1 0.001 4 0.1 57 9 7 22 0.5 / 0.008
Mar 30–Apr 6 Publicus Asia[14] 1,500 ±3.0% 1 0 0 4 56 9 2 23 0 5 / 1
Apr 1–4 RMN–APCORE[15] 2,400 ±2.0% 1.8 59 8.3 4.2 20.7 <1 5.5 / —
April 3 Second COMELEC presidential debate
March 24 Lacson resigns from Partido Reporma; Reporma switches endorsement from Lacson to Robredo
Mar 22–Apr 1 Mobilis–TruthWatch[16] 2,505 ±3% 2 52 10 4 30 2 / —
Mar 15–22 Laylo[17] 3,000 ±2.0% 2 61 9 6 19 2 / —
Mar 15–22 RP-MDF[18] 10,000 ±1.0% 7 53 9 2 28 1 / —
March 21 PDP–Laban endorses Marcos
Mar 17–21 Pulse Asia[19] 2,400 ±2.0% 0.1 0.02 0 2 1 56 0.05 8 6 24 1 / 1 0.5
March 19 First COMELEC presidential debate
Mar 9–14 Publicus Asia[20] 1,500 ±3.0% 0.5 0.7 0.3 4.2 55.1 8.2 1.8 21 0.1 7.9 / 0.3
Mar 7–13 I&AC[21] 1,800 ±3.0% 0.5 1 0.25 7.75 0.25 51.25 0.25 10.25 4.5 20.75 3.25 / —
Mar 12 MBC–DZRH[22] 7,566 ±1.13% 0.2 0.5 0.2 4.7 1.2 49.8 0.3 9.8 8 21.4 3.9 / —
Mar 2–5 RMN–APCORE[23] 2,400 ±2.0% 3 55 12 5 18 2 6 / —
February 27 CNN Philippines presidential debate
Feb 22–28 RP-MDF[24] 10,000 ±1.0% 4 53 11 5 25 2 / —
Feb 18–23 Pulse Asia[25] 2,400 ±2.0% 0 0.1 0 2 0.4 60 0.01 10 8 15 3 / 1 0.4
Feb 14–21 Laylo[26] 3,000 ±2.0% 3 63 7 7 17 3 / —
Feb 12–17 OCTA[27] 1,200 ±3.0% 3 55 11 10 15 5 / 0.3 1
Feb 11–16 Publicus Asia[28] 1,500 ±2.6% 0.5 0.7 3.3 52.3 8.9 2.7 22.3 0.1 8.9 / 0.5
February 15 SMNI presidential debate
Feb 9–15 I&AC[29] 1,200 ±3.0% 0.25 1.13 8.75 0.13 53 0.25 11.25 6 16.75 2.5 / —

From the end of candidacy filing to the start of the campaign period

[edit]
Fieldworkdate(s) Pollster Samplesize MoE AbellaInd. De GuzmanPLM GonzalesPDSP LacsonReporma MangondatoKatipunan MarcosPFP MontemayorDPP MorenoAksyon PacquiaoPROMDI RobredoInd. Others Und./None Ref.
2022
Jan 28–31 SWS[30][31] 1,200 ±3.0% 0.04 0.3 0 6 0.04 50 0.1 11 11 19 3 / —
Jan 26–30 RMN–APCORE[32] 2,400 ±2.0% 0.3 0.2 0.2 3 57 12 4 17 6 / —
Jan 22–30 RP-MDF[33] 10,000 ±1.0% 0.34 8 45.02 16.25 9.71 20.06
Jan 10–26 Laylo[34] 15,450 ±0.8% 3 64 6 6 16
Jan 19–24 Pulse Asia[35] 2,400 ±2.0% 0.05 0.02 0 4 0.3 60 0 8 8 16 2 / 1 1
Jan 17–23 Laylo[36] 3,000 ±2% 4 64 7 7 16 3 / —
Jan 10–16 I&AC[37][38] 2,400 ±3% 0.25 1 0.25 8 51 14 10 11 3.5
2021
Dec 11–12 MBC–DZRH[39] 7,614 ±1.13% 0.3 4.9 49.2 10.4 8.2 16.2 6.3 4.5 / —
Dec 7–12 OCTA[40] 1,200 ±3.0% 0.02 0.001 5 54 12 10 14 1 / 4 0.1
Dec 6–12 I&AC[41] 1,200 ±3.0% 0.25 2 0.25 13 43 11 16 12 1 1.5 / —
Dec 6–10 Publicus Asia[42] 1,500 ±2.6% 0.5 3.4 51.9 7.9 2.3 20.2 3.9 8.3 / 0.9
Dec 1–6 Pulse Asia[43] 2,400 ±2.0% 0.004 0 6 53 8 8 20 0.01 3 / 1 1
November 30 Bong Go announces his withdrawal from the presidential election.
Nov 23–29 RMN–APCORE[44] 2,400 ±3.0% 0.17 0.17 0.08 3 55 13 4 13 8 4 / —
Nov 16–24 RP-MDF[45] 10,000 ±2.0% 0.1 6.35 23.94 21.75 15.94 15.1 14.25 2.56
Nov 16–20 I&AC[46] 1,200 ±3.0% 0.25 0.875 0.125 12 36.5 10.75 16.75 13 8.25 1.5 / —
November 9–15 Ronald dela Rosa withdraws; Bong Go substitutes for Grepor Belgica for president.
Nov 16–18 Publicus Asia[47] 1,500 ±2.6% 0.4 0.3 2.9 56.7 6.9 3.0 15.4 4.3 8.8 / 1.5
Oct 17–26 RP-MDF[48][49][50] 10,000 ±2.0% 0.81 7.08 23.10 25.39 17.88 18.31 3.41 4.02
Oct 20–23 SWS[51] 1,200 ±3.0% 5 47 13 9 18 5 3 / —
Oct 11–18 Publicus Asia[52] 1,500 ±2.6% 0.6 2.9 49.3 8.8 2.8 21.3 4 8.6 / 1.7
Sep 27–Oct 8 I&AC[53] 2,400 ±2.5% 3.25 1.25 12.5 23.5 18 19.75 14 7.75

Until candidacy filing ended in October 2021

[edit]
Fieldworkdate(s) Pollster Samplesize MoE Alvarez (Reporma) Bello (Ind.) Binay (UNA) Carpio (Ind.) Cayetano (NP) Duterte (HNP) Go (PDP–Laban) Gordon (Ind.) Lacson (Reporma) Marcos (PFP) Moreno (Aksyon) Pacquiao (PROMDI) Poe (Ind.) Robredo (LP) Teodoro (Lakas) Trillanes (Magdalo) Others Und./Ref.
2021
October 1–8 Filing of certificates of candidacies
  • Manny Pacquiao submits his presidential candidacy under the PROMDI banner.
  • Bongbong Marcos resigns from the Nacionalista Party and swears in as chairperson of PFP.
  • Leni Robredo submits her presidential candidacy as an independent.
  • Sara Duterte files her candidacy for mayor of Davao City.
Sep 6–11 Pulse Asia[54][55][56] 2,400 ±2.0% 0.1 4 20 3 6 15 13 12 9 8 0.1 1 0.3 7
Jul 24–31 MBC–DZRH[57] 7,500 ±1.13% 2.8 2.1 25.4 3.5 1 3.3 17.7 11.2 10 10 8.3 1.6 2.8
Jul 13–19 Publicus Asia[58] 1,500 ±2.6% 0.3 0.2 0.8 20.8 3.3 0.8 2.9 17.8 11.3 3.6 5.1 13.2 1 4.3 11.8
Jul 12–18 OCTA[59][60] 1,200 ±3.0% 2 0 5 28 4 1 2 13 11 10 10 5 1 3 6
Jun 7–16 Pulse Asia[61][62] 2,400 ±2.0% 0.1 2 0.3 2 28 3 0.3 4 13 14 8 10 6 0.1 2 0.1 8
Feb 22 – Mar 3 Pulse Asia[63][64][65] 2,400 ±2.0% 3 0.2 2 27 5 1 2 13 12 11 12 7 0.3 0.1 4
Jan 26 – Feb 1 OCTA[66] 1,200 ±3.0% 22 12 11 12 13 5
2020
Nov 23 – Dec 2 Pulse Asia[67][68] 2,400 ±2.0% 0.1 3 26 4 0.2 4 14 12 10 14 8 1 4

Polling for vice president

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]

From the start of the campaign period to Election Day

[edit]
Fieldworkdate(s) Pollster Samplesize MoE AtienzaPROMDI BelloPLM DavidDPP DuterteLakas LopezWPP OngAksyon PangilinanLP SerapioKatipunan SottoNPC Others Und./None Ref.
May 9 Election results 56,097,722 N/A 0.52 0.19 0.11 61.53 0.31 3.59 17.82 0.17 15.76 N/A
Exit poll Publicus Asia[1] 29,024 67 4 16 11 2
May 2–5 Publicus Asia[2] 1,500 ±3.0% 1 1 59 9 16 9 0 4 / 1
Apr 22–30 Mobilis–TruthWatch[4] 2,400 ±2% 1 55 4 13 24 3
Apr 22–25 OCTA[6] 2,400 ±2.0% 1 0.03 56 0.1 4 16 0.001 22 0.5 / 0.7 0.1
Apr 19–21 Publicus Asia[7] 1,500 ±3.0% 1 1 59 8 15 9 6 / 1
Apr 16–21 Pulse Asia[8] 2,400 ±2.0% 0.5 0.4 0.1 55 1 3 16 0.3 18 — / 1 5
Apr 14–20 Laylo[9] 3,000 ±2.0% 1 62 4 12 18 0.4 3 / —
Apr 18–19 MBC–DZRH[69] 7,560 ±1.13% 1.1 0.2 0.2 54.2 0.4 6.6 15.1 0.5 16.9 4.8 / —
Apr 4–15 I&AC[12] 2,440 ±3.0% 2 0.375 0.5 50.5 0 9 8 0.125 27.5 2 / —
Apr 2–6 OCTA[13] 1,200 ±3.0% 0.7 0.1 0.02 57 0.1 7 12 0 23 0.4 / 0.001 0
Mar 30–Apr 6 Publicus Asia[14] 1,500 ±3.0% 1 1 58 9 15 11 6 / 1
Apr 1–4 RMN–APCORE[15] 2,400 ±2.0% 1 57.3 4.8 12.8 17.4 6 / —
Mar 22–Apr 1 Mobilis–TruthWatch[16] 2,505 ±3% 1 50 6 18 21 4 / —
Mar 15–22 Laylo[70] 3,000 ±2.0% 2 60 7 12 17 2 / —
Mar 15–22 RP-MDF[71] 10,000 ±1.0% 1 54 2 7 35
Mar 17–21 Pulse Asia[19] 2,400 ±2.0% 1 0.1 0.01 56 0.3 5 15 0.01 20 2 / 1 0.4
March 20 COMELEC vice presidential debate
Mar 9–14 Publicus Asia[20] 1,500 ±3.0% 0.7 0.9 56.5 10.6 12.8 9.9 0.3 7.7 / 0.5
Mar 7–13 I&AC[21] 1,800 ±3.0% 2.5 0.5 1 48.75 0.25 10.75 8 0.25 25.25 2.75 / —
Mar 12 MBC–DZRH[72] 7,566 ±1.13% 1.2 0.3 0.5 51.8 0.5 7.7 14.2 0.7 17.9 5.1 / —
Mar 2–5 RMN–APCORE[73] 2,400 ±2.0% 1 53 6 12 19 2 7 / —
February 26 CNN Philippines vice presidential debate
Feb 22–28 RP-MDF[24] 10,000 ±1.0% 1 58 4 7 29 1 / —
Feb 18–23 Pulse Asia[25] 2,400 ±2.0% 1 0.1 0 53 0.1 6 11 0.01 24 3 / 1 0.1
Feb 14–21 Laylo[74] 3,000 ±2.0% 3 60 4 11 19 3 / —
Feb 12–17 OCTA[27] 1,200 ±3.0% 1 0 0 43 0 7 10 0.1 33 4 / 1 2
Feb 11–16 Publicus Asia[28] 1,500 ±3.0% 1.3 0.2 53.5 12.6 13.7 9.2 0.1 8.6 / 0.8
Feb 9–15 I&AC[37][38] 1,200 ±3.0% 2 0.5 54 11 4 25 3.5 / —

From the end of candidacy filing to the start of the campaign period

[edit]
Fieldworkdate(s) Pollster Samplesize MoE AtienzaPROMDI BelloPLM DavidDPP DuterteLakas LopezWPP OngAksyon PangilinanLP SerapioKatipunan SottoNPC Others Und./None Ref.
2022
Jan 28–31 SWS[31][75] 1,200 ±3.0% 2 0.3 0.4 44 1 7 10 0.2 33 3 / —
Jan 26–30 RMN–APCORE[76] 2,400 ±2.0% 1.9 0.1 45.3 7.6 9.9 26 5 / —
Jan 22–30 RP-MDF[33] 10,000 ±1.0% 1.62 52.05 3.60 6.22 35.95
Jan 10–26 Laylo[77] 15,450 ±0.8% 1 60 5 9 19 1 4 / —
Jan 19–24 Pulse Asia[35] 2,400 ±2.0% 1 0.02 0.02 50 0.1 5 11 0.1 29 1 / 1 1
January 21 The Cusi faction of PDP–Laban endorses Duterte
Jan 10–16 I&AC[37][38] 2,400 ±3.0% 3 1.5 54 6 9 25 2.5 / —
2021
Dec 11–12 MBC–DZRH[78] 7,614 ±1.13% 2.2 0.9 50.5 8.4 10.2 20.7 7.2 / —
Dec 7–12 OCTA[40] 1,200 ±3.0% 1 0.07 50 4 9 33 2 / 1 0
Dec 6–12 I&AC[41] 1,200 ±3.0% 5 1 36 4 8 44 2 / —
Dec 6–10 Publicus Asia[42] 1,500 ±2.6% 1.5 0.7 54.8 11.2 9.7 11 0.1 9.5 / 1.5
Dec 1–6 Pulse Asia[43] 2,400 ±2.0% 1 0.01 45 6 12 31 3 / 2 1
Nov 23–29 RMN–APCORE[79] 2,400 ±3.0% 2 0.08 48 9 11 25 5 / —
Nov 16–24 RPMD[80] 10,000 ±2.0% 2.11 44.88 6.96 11.34 33.2 1.5
Nov 16–20 I&AC[46] 1,200 ±3.0% 3 1 30 10 11 43 2 / —
Nov 16–18 Publicus Asia[47] 1,500 ±2.6% 1.3 0.4 54.4 8.9 9 10.1 0.3 13.7 / 1.9
November 9–13 Sara Duterte resigns from HNP; swears in as chairperson of Lakas, substitutes Lyle Fernando Uy to run for vice president.
Oct 17–26 RPMD[48][49][50] 10,000 ±2.0% 2.15 33.11 8.94 11.13 26.87 14.92 2.88
Oct 20–23 SWS[51] 1,200 ±3.0% 3 25 13 13 44 2 / —
Oct 11–18 Publicus Asia[52] 1,500 ±2.6% 2.6 19 12.3 17.3 25.6 16.9 / 6.3
Sep 27–Oct 8 I&AC[53] 2,400 ±2.5% 8.5 8 18 44 21.5

Until candidacy filing ended in October 2021

[edit]
Fieldworkdate(s) Pollster Samplesize Marginof error Alvarez (Reporma) Angara (LDP) Cayetano (NP) Diokno (LP) R. Duterte (PDP–Laban) S. Duterte (HNP) Escudero (NPC) Go (PDP–Laban) Marcos (PFP) Moreno (Aksyon) Pacquiao (PROMDI) Poe (Ind.) Revillame (Ind.) Sotto (NPC) Teodoro (Lakas) Trillanes (Magdalo) Villar (NP) Others Und./Ref.
2021
Sep 6–11 Pulse Asia[55][54][81] 2,400 ±2.0% 2 6 1 14 7 12 12 7 4 25 0.5 2 2 0.1 5
Jul 24–31 MBC–DZRH[57] 7,500 ±1.13% 1.5 5 15.6 10.5 5.3 4.9 10.8 10.5 6.5 10.8 9.3 0.6 2.5 4.1
Jul 12–18 OCTA[59][60] 1,200 ±3.0% 10 1 18 5 4 9 11 6 10 7 0 2 1 9 7
Jun 7–16 Pulse Asia[61][62] 2,400 ±2.0% 0.3 3 8 0.2 18 0.03 7 5 10 14 9 4 10 1 2 2 0.1 6
Feb 22 – Mar 3 Pulse Asia[63][64][65] 2,400 ±2.0% 3 7 1 15 7 9 11 16 15 11 0.5 3 0.1 4
Jan 26 – Feb 1 OCTA[66] 1,200 14 11 11 10
2020
Nov 23 – Dec 2 Pulse Asia[67][68] 2,400 ±2.0% 2 5 2 16 6 9 11 17 11 14 2 1 4

Footnotes

[edit]
  1. ^ Originally ran under Partido para sa Demokratikong Reporma; resigned from the party mid-way through the campaign. Still labeled as a Reporma candidate on the official ballots.

References

[edit]
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